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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-06-13T00:06:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-06-13T00:06Z
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-06-15T14:00Z (-8.0h, +8.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:
Full halo CME in Lasco C3 which has been attributed to the M1 flare peaking at 12/2246Z. Also coronal dimming appears in the vicinity of AR3711, the source of the M1 flare. The CME has been hard to analyse, due to being weak and faint, plus lack of images.
Lead Time: 36.83 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2024-06-14T01:10Z
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